Jul 1, 2013

Curse of the Middle Kingdom on Indo-Bhutan friendship


Some foreign policy pundits in India have hinted at Bhutan’s shifting loyalty toward its northern neighbor-spinning a yarn of conspiracy theories that are naïve at best and ludicrous at worst. Of all, they must understand that Indo-Bhutan relation runs way deeper than it appears.

If fear mongers are to be believed, alas, the enduring friendship between India and Bhutan seems to be falling apart. Piecemeal. The widely rumored premise for such a bold claim anchors on the fragile logic that China is making increasing inroads into Bhutan or other way round.

Such claim is fundamentally flawed at many levels.

To set the record straight, Indo-Bhutan relation is a strategic alliance that mutually benefits both the countries. Despite the sheer difference in size, the equation is that of two equal partners working in tandem for a common interest.

Although the dynamics of Indo-Bhutan relations has undergone calculated change over the years, the basis of this relationship remains the same. Two visionary leaders – King Jigme Dorji Wangchuck and Indian Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru - forged the relationship between Bhutan and India, not based on the paternalism of a ‘big brother’ but on the profound values of trust and equality as independent nations.

In the earlier stages of Bhutan’s development, India did guide Bhutan in its foreign policy affairs – often shaping the notion that Bhutan was a quasi-sovereign nation, more like an autonomous federal state of India. This however changed in early 2007 when Bhutan and India revised the 1949 Treaty of Friendship - the major breakthrough being the removal of a particular article that gave Bhutan the leeway to pursue its own foreign policy. This was done, among others, to inject more confidence into a relationship that was founded on trust and respect for each other’s sovereignty. The 2007 friendship treaty defines this new relationship. It is the reference point for Indo-Bhutan relations.

Therefore, in essence, even if Bhutan decides to establish diplomatic and trade relations with China, it’s our independent choice. It cannot be misconstrued or condemned as a defiant move on our part. For a simple fact. India already has diplomatic ties with China. And in spite of the regular frictions between the two countries, they are major trading partners.

That said, Bhutan has always maintained a cautious distance from China. Why? Because it respects India’s geopolitical interest in the region. In fact, Bhutan has always backed India on major international issues. Bhutan shares over 400 kilometers of disputed territory with China in the north and even after 20 or so rounds of border talks with Chinese government officials, it is yet to be resolved. The question again is, why? Even here, Bhutan has kowtowed the Indian line, only because Bhutan keeps India’s interest in mind – sometimes before its own!

Foreign policy pundits in India who have hinted at Bhutan’s shifting alliance toward its northern neighbor must understand that Indo-Bhutan relation runs way deeper than it appears. In Bhutan, people do not share their frenzied obsession of China. That’s however not to say we aren’t aware of China’s growing clout in the region and global arena. Bhutan cannot live in denial of China’s powerful pull-factor, which is rather enticing. Talk about the huge economic prospects of a newfound relationship with China, Bhutan stands to benefit every which way. In this light, for us, it has been a story of self-sacrifice for the greater good of Indo- Bhutan relations.

On the other hand, Sino-India relation, steeped in a love-hate relationship, more of the latter to be precise, should not define the nature of India’s relationship with Bhutan. The history behind the two is completely different. And just because Bhutan is asserting itself in the international platform, be it about propagating its GNH exceptionalism for instance, it doesn’t mean Indo-Bhutan friendship has taken a back seat. The tragedy with India-Bhutan-China love triangle is that China, without much ado, has managed to sow the seed of contempt and mistrust between Bhutan and India.

Bhutan’s friendly excursions with China should not bother India either for Bhutan will never trade off the friendship with India, come what may. This confidence India must enjoy. Bhutan is India’s most formidable ally and partner in the region and it’s here to stay. As much as India cannot afford to lose Bhutan, Bhutan cannot lose India either. Much is at stake.

However, there is a growing need to redefine Indo-Bhutan relations and give fresh perspectives to this old friendship-taking a departure from how it is perceived and projected today. Bhutan has come of age and India must take pride that it played a major role in it.

Perhaps, a new, intelligent discourse on Indo-Bhutan relations will pacify the paranoia in India, each time a Prime Minister like Jigmi Y Thinley takes a bold decision to meet the Chinese Premier, with or without keeping India in the loop. At the same time, back at home, it will also discard fears about India’s presumed interference in Bhutan’s domestic politics.

As best friends, the least we can do is rise above petty doubts!